Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.644703 0.835610 1.051549 1.310776 1.610430 1.943002 2.337052
2025-04-06 0.388977 0.624736 0.927634 1.330865 1.839482 2.446533 3.212443
2025-04-13 0.217629 0.449189 0.790836 1.293904 1.979968 2.850006 4.003457
2025-04-20 0.126227 0.343091 0.710976 1.304523 2.168736 3.318546 4.901060
2025-04-27 0.071240 0.265539 0.646784 1.317091 2.350779 3.782333 5.813020
2025-05-04 0.033486 0.191610 0.561224 1.274193 2.439248 4.116349 6.563445
2025-05-11 0.013131 0.135017 0.483893 1.224080 2.502765 4.410056 7.264055
2025-05-18 0.005044 0.103470 0.445113 1.230987 2.650231 4.825899 8.143691
2025-05-25 0.001020 0.072287 0.390092 1.193034 2.715288 5.117407 8.853022
2025-06-01 0.000245 0.062115 0.388291 1.260872 2.962438 5.691745 9.982583
2025-06-08 0.000002 0.046663 0.359944 1.265119 3.095667 6.093055 10.869577
2025-06-15 NaN 0.042950 0.371866 1.361061 3.398397 6.768434 12.174300
2025-06-22 NaN 0.036258 0.368918 1.424302 3.650071 7.379929 13.413172
2025-06-29 NaN 0.028076 0.352762 1.452677 3.838437 7.897333 14.526342
2025-07-06 NaN 0.018070 0.314683 1.417079 3.900726 8.211490 15.340877
2025-07-13 NaN 0.012857 0.296669 1.430286 4.057367 8.683871 16.404812
2025-07-20 NaN 0.008957 0.280507 1.444667 4.215551 9.161713 17.484949
2025-07-27 NaN 0.004718 0.247083 1.399475 4.247039 9.425346 18.238055
2025-08-03 NaN 0.002040 0.214420 1.346293 4.255189 9.646501 18.926779
2025-08-10 NaN 0.001062 0.201232 1.353797 4.392593 10.093342 19.977016
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000294 0.176633 1.313360 4.420358 10.347555 20.725368
2025-08-24 NaN 0.000209 0.181854 1.385783 4.705076 11.062468 22.219280
2025-08-31 NaN 0.000049 0.170355 1.390331 4.834940 11.504121 23.281712